Hemoglobin

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$23.78

33.97 coins

Advertised RTP

90.90%

EV $21.62 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d

88.04%

1,937 openings, odds method

Variance

5.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 17

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

87.1%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

77.15%±33.42200 openings

7 days

86.60%±11.511,704 openings

30 days

88.04%±10.801,937 openings

since tracking started

88.04%±10.801,937 openings

43.0%77.0%111.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	200	77.15%±33.4	−0.8σ	odds
7d	1,704	86.60%±11.5	−0.7σ	odds
30d	1,937	88.04%±10.8	−0.5σ	odds
All	1,937	88.04%±10.8	−0.5σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,937 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 200	$334 477 coins	7.7%	11	9.7	1.14×
SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 56	$286 409 coins	23.8%	29	34.9	0.83×
Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| DreamHack 2014sticker · high	1 in 200	$204 291 coins	4.7%	13	9.7	1.34×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 200	$200 286 coins	4.6%	11	9.7	1.14×
MP9 \| Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 200	$192 274 coins	4.4%	11	9.7	1.14×
M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 50	$172 246 coins	15.9%	30	38.7	0.77×
★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 200	$160 229 coins	3.7%	7	9.7	0.72×
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 87	$91.70 131 coins	4.9%	21	22.3	0.94×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 111	$85.40 122 coins	3.6%	15	17.4	0.86×
Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 100	$83.30 119 coins	3.9%	24	19.4	1.24×
M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 77	$77.70 111 coins	4.7%	23	25.2	0.91×
★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 125	$74.90 107 coins	2.8%	16	15.5	1.03×
P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 67	$41.94 59.92 coins	2.9%	48	29.1	1.65×
P250 \| Muertos (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 40	$19.25 27.5 coins	2.2%	53	48.4	1.09×
Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 33	$13.02 18.6 coins	1.8%	52	58.1	0.89×
SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 17	$10.98 15.69 coins	3.0%	120	116.2	1.03×
R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 20	$9.55 13.64 coins	2.2%	81	96.9	0.84×
Tec-9 \| Isaac (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 25	$4.26 6.09 coins	0.8%	74	77.5	0.96×
Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 13	$1.22 1.74 coins	0.5%	138	155.0	0.89×
Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 15	$1.11 1.58 coins	0.3%	115	125.9	0.91×
CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	18.0%	$0.96 1.37 coins	0.8%	375	348.7	1.08×
Galil AR \| Signal (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	15.0%	$0.50 0.71 coins	0.3%	324	290.6	1.12×
USP-S \| Check Engine (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	19.1%	$0.41 0.59 coins	0.4%	346	369.0	0.94×

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$23.7833.97 coins$0.961.37 coins0.04x2h

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$23.7833.97 coins$10.9815.69 coins0.46x2h

P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)weapon · classified$23.7833.97 coins$41.9459.92 coins1.76x2h

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedCousin of po$23.7833.97 coins$91.70131 coins3.86x2h

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$23.7833.97 coins$91.70131 coins3.86x2h

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$23.7833.97 coins$0.961.37 coins0.04x7h

Galil AR | Signal (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$23.7833.97 coins$0.500.71 coins0.02x7h

USP-S | Check Engine (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec$23.7833.97 coins$0.410.59 coins0.02x7h

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedUnfairScroll27$23.7833.97 coins$0.961.37 coins0.04x7h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
9 Nov, 01:53 UTC	$23.78	90.90%	23
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC	$23.78	90.90%	23
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC	$23.76	90.91%	23
5 Nov, 22:45 UTC	$23.79	90.90%	23
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$23.79	90.91%	23

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedmil spec 36.6%covert 7.8%high 0.5%classified 11.2%restricted 44.0%best hit —