High Voltage

A case on CSGORoll (40%, gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$56.24

80.35 coins

Advertised RTP

90.90%

EV $51.13 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d

99.13%

362 openings, odds method

Variance

7.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 15

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

90.7%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

16 openings · below min

7 days

96.05%±29.23298 openings

30 days

99.13%±26.39362 openings

since tracking started

99.13%±26.39362 openings

-0.5%76.8%154.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	16	21.42%±132.0	—	odds
7d	298	96.05%±29.2	+0.3σ	odds
30d	362	99.13%±26.4	+0.6σ	odds
All	362	99.13%±26.4	+0.6σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 362 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 100	$1,255 1,793 coins	24.5%	4	3.6	1.10×
★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 67	$505 721 coins	14.8%	8	5.4	1.47×
★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 333	$346 494 coins	2.0%	4	1.1	3.68×
★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 25	$334 477 coins	26.1%	11	14.5	0.76×
★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$279 398 coins	2.7%	2	1.8	1.10×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 50	$130 186 coins	5.1%	6	7.2	0.83×
★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 17	$54.03 77.18 coins	6.3%	21	21.7	0.97×
★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 13	$38.91 55.59 coins	6.1%	27	29.0	0.93×
★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 15	$35.33 50.47 coins	4.6%	21	24.3	0.87×
★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	10.0%	$26.67 38.1 coins	5.2%	38	36.2	1.05×
Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer	15.0%	$3.11 4.44 coins	0.9%	48	54.3	0.88×
Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	15.0%	$2.79 3.98 coins	0.8%	56	54.3	1.03×
P2000 \| Handgun (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	15.0%	$1.43 2.04 coins	0.4%	58	54.3	1.07×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	15.0%	$0.87 1.24 coins	0.3%	58	54.3	1.07×

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryJUDOKA03$56.2480.35 coins$1,2551,793 coins22.31x1d

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$56.2480.35 coins$1,2551,793 coins22.31x1d

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryBoscoG2$56.2480.35 coins$1,2551,793 coins22.31x2d

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$54.8478.35 coins$1,0451,493 coins19.06x6d

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$54.8478.35 coins$515736 coins9.39x6d

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryhellsten05$54.8478.35 coins$515736 coins9.39x7d

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryego$54.8478.35 coins$515736 coins9.39x7d

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$54.8478.35 coins$515736 coins9.39x8d

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryJamal$56.2480.35 coins$505721 coins8.97x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$56.2480.35 coins$2.793.98 coins0.05x2h

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$56.2480.35 coins$0.871.24 coins0.02x2h

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryJhon csgoroll.com$56.2480.35 coins$35.3350.47 coins0.63x2h

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$56.2480.35 coins$0.871.24 coins0.02x4h

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$56.2480.35 coins$2.793.98 coins0.05x4h

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$56.2480.35 coins$35.3350.47 coins0.63x4h

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinarywSe$56.2480.35 coins$26.6738.1 coins0.47x4h

Five-SeveN | Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$56.2480.35 coins$3.114.44 coins0.06x4h

P2000 | Handgun (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$56.2480.35 coins$1.432.04 coins0.03x4h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
9 Nov, 00:04 UTC	$56.24	90.90%	14
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC	$56.26	90.90%	14
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC	$56.24	90.90%	14
5 Nov, 22:45 UTC	$54.86	90.91%	14
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$54.84	90.91%	14

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 40.0%consumer 15.0%mil spec 30.0%restricted 15.0%best hit $1,255 (22.31x)