gambatracker
Live
Big wins
Emperor Speed Baccarat C$1,1711.95xGanja Snail$1,6679.29xGates of Olympus 1000$1,3252.00xGates of Olympus 1000$6,97010.52xPlinko$83.20130.0xMarlin Masters$2,710386.7xZeus vs Hades – Gods of War 250$32.02160.1xKeno$2,03881.50xMines$2,5863.23xKorean Speed Baccarat G$1,9511.95xSoaked By Seamen$1,058293.9xJohn Hunter and the Tomb of the Scarab Queen$5,79613.00xCase Battles$3,8752.58xLimbo$2,0442.80xFlaming Hot Extreme Bell Link$1,28246.00xLotus Sic Bo$4,0042.00xEgg Drop$1,7464.15xImmersive Roulette$1,8001.76xMines$6771,010xImmersive Roulette$1,8021.01xInstant Roulette$1,8723.12xInfinite Free Bet Blackjack$3,2267.83xStarlight Princess Super Scatter$52.05260.3xGates of Olympus 1000$72.99292.0x

Horizon

A case on CSGORoll (csgo), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.87
2.67 coins
Advertised RTP
91.02%
EV $1.70 from 94 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.22%
20.9K openings, odds method
Variance
14.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90.24%±13.972,855 openings
7 days
92.85%±5.5518.3K openings
30 days
94.22%±5.1920.9K openings
since tracking started
94.22%±5.1920.9K openings
75.5%90.3%105.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2,85590.24%±14.0−0.1σodds
7d18.3K92.85%±5.55+0.7σodds
30d20.9K94.22%±5.19+1.3σodds
All20.9K94.22%±5.19+1.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values94 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20.9K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 100,000$597 853 coins0.4%00.2—
★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 50,000$489 699 coins0.6%00.4—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 50,000$360 514 coins0.4%00.4—
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 3,333$186 266 coins3.3%96.31.43×
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 10,000$174 248 coins1.0%22.10.96×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 3,333$167 239 coins3.0%66.30.96×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 10,000$164 234 coins1.0%42.11.91×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 3,333$80.50 115 coins1.4%106.31.59×
★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 3,333$66.84 95.48 coins1.2%116.31.75×
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 2,500$63.41 90.59 coins1.5%118.41.31×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 2,000$47.66 68.09 coins1.4%1410.51.34×
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 2,500$41.03 58.61 coins1.0%78.40.84×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,000$40.87 58.38 coins2.4%1620.90.76×
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 2,500$40.21 57.44 coins0.9%138.41.55×
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 2,000$40.21 57.44 coins1.2%1110.51.05×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 1,000$39.73 56.76 coins2.3%1720.90.81×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 1,000$39.73 56.76 coins2.3%2120.91.00×
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 2,000$36.05 51.5 coins1.1%1210.51.15×
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 2,000$20.36 29.08 coins0.6%1410.51.34×
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 2,000$15.58 22.25 coins0.5%910.50.86×
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 333$12.15 17.36 coins2.1%6962.81.10×
Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 333$9.80 14 coins1.7%6862.81.08×
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 1,000$8.52 12.17 coins0.5%2320.91.10×
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 333$8.30 11.86 coins1.5%6062.80.96×
G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 250$7.97 11.38 coins1.9%10483.71.24×
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 500$7.48 10.68 coins0.9%5141.91.22×
AWP | PAW (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 500$6.38 9.11 coins0.7%4241.91.00×
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 500$6.19 8.84 coins0.7%4941.91.17×
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 500$6.17 8.82 coins0.7%3141.90.74×
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 1,000$6.05 8.64 coins0.4%2520.91.19×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 67$5.77 8.24 coins5.1%319314.01.02×
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 250$4.82 6.89 coins1.1%8683.71.03×
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 250$4.81 6.87 coins1.1%6683.70.79×
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 100$4.79 6.85 coins2.8%211209.41.01×
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 200$4.75 6.79 coins1.4%99104.70.95×
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 67$4.69 6.7 coins4.1%314314.01.00×
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 250$4.56 6.52 coins1.1%9283.71.10×
StatTrak™ AWP | PAW (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 333$4.49 6.42 coins0.8%5262.80.83×
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 200$4.14 5.91 coins1.2%106104.71.01×
Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 67$4.01 5.73 coins3.5%294314.00.94×
MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 100$3.87 5.53 coins2.3%220209.41.05×
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 100$3.64 5.2 coins2.1%214209.41.02×
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 67$3.63 5.19 coins3.2%301314.00.96×
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 250$3.58 5.12 coins0.8%8183.70.97×
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 100$2.93 4.18 coins1.7%218209.41.04×
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 67$2.79 3.98 coins2.5%321314.01.02×
AWP | PAW (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 100$1.79 2.56 coins1.1%224209.41.07×
AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 67$1.76 2.51 coins1.5%311314.00.99×
P90 | Traction (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 67$1.72 2.45 coins1.5%281314.00.89×
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$1.05 1.5 coins1.0%357355.91.00×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 67$0.95 1.36 coins0.8%323314.01.03×
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.91 1.3 coins0.9%392355.91.10×
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.86 1.23 coins0.9%389355.91.09×
MP7 | Powercore (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 59$0.78 1.11 coins0.8%352355.90.99×
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 59$0.78 1.11 coins0.8%355355.91.00×
Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 59$0.77 1.1 coins0.8%343355.90.96×
G3SG1 | High Seas (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 59$0.69 0.98 coins0.7%367355.91.03×
MP7 | Powercore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 59$0.69 0.98 coins0.7%346355.90.97×
R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.65 0.93 coins0.7%350355.90.98×
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.64 0.92 coins0.6%357355.91.00×
G3SG1 | High Seas (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 59$0.64 0.91 coins0.6%343355.90.96×
Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 59$0.61 0.87 coins0.6%339355.90.95×
G3SG1 | High Seas (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 59$0.60 0.86 coins0.6%346355.90.97×
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 59$0.60 0.86 coins0.6%340355.90.96×
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 59$0.59 0.85 coins0.6%348355.90.98×
Nova | Toy Soldier (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 59$0.57 0.81 coins0.6%357355.91.00×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 59$0.56 0.8 coins0.6%338355.90.95×
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.52 0.74 coins0.5%348355.90.98×
P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.50 0.72 coins0.5%375355.91.05×
MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.46 0.66 coins0.5%353355.90.99×
P90 | Traction (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.45 0.64 coins0.4%345355.90.97×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.43 0.62 coins0.4%338355.90.95×
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.41 0.59 coins0.4%334355.90.94×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.39 0.55 coins0.4%368355.91.03×
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.38 0.54 coins0.4%339355.90.95×
R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.38 0.54 coins0.4%345355.90.97×
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.37 0.53 coins0.4%340355.90.96×
Dual Berettas | Shred (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.36 0.52 coins0.4%349355.90.98×
MP9 | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.34 0.49 coins0.3%363355.91.02×
Dual Berettas | Shred (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.34 0.49 coins0.3%367355.91.03×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.34 0.48 coins0.3%369355.91.04×
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.32 0.46 coins0.3%387355.91.09×
R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.32 0.45 coins0.3%377355.91.06×
P90 | Traction (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.31 0.44 coins0.3%375355.91.05×
Dual Berettas | Shred (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 48$0.31 0.44 coins0.4%437436.51.00×
P90 | Traction (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 50$0.29 0.42 coins0.3%457418.71.09×
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.27 0.39 coins0.3%327355.90.92×
R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 50$0.27 0.39 coins0.3%422418.71.01×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 50$0.27 0.39 coins0.3%384418.70.92×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 50$0.27 0.38 coins0.3%412418.70.98×
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.25 0.36 coins0.3%343355.90.96×
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$0.25 0.36 coins0.3%338355.90.95×
MP9 | Capillary (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 50$0.25 0.36 coins0.3%442418.71.06×
R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 50$0.22 0.32 coins0.3%441418.71.05×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified$1.882.68 coins$186266 coins99.25x
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified$1.882.68 coins$186266 coins99.25x
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified70/30 Grogg$1.882.68 coins$186266 coins99.25x
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified$1.872.67 coins$186266 coins99.63x
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified$1.882.68 coins$186266 coins99.25x
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified$1.852.65 coins$178254 coins95.85x
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classifiedYebek$1.852.64 coins$178254 coins96.21x
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classifiedYebek$1.852.64 coins$178254 coins96.21x
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classifiedViggerMcNieger$1.862.66 coins$178254 coins95.49x
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covertVicky$1.872.67 coins$174248 coins92.88x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ AWP | PAW (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$1.872.67 coins$4.496.42 coins2.40x
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$1.872.67 coins$4.756.79 coins2.54x
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$1.872.67 coins$0.520.74 coins0.28x
AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$1.872.67 coins$1.762.51 coins0.94x
MP7 | Powercore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedcookies$1.872.67 coins$0.690.98 coins0.37x
MP7 | Powercore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$1.872.67 coins$0.690.98 coins0.37x
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$1.872.67 coins$1.051.5 coins0.56x
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$1.872.67 coins$0.270.39 coins0.15x
P90 | Traction (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$1.872.67 coins$0.290.42 coins0.16x
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn)weapon · mil specCARRITOS MAISTER$1.872.67 coins$0.270.39 coins0.15x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.02%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:26 UTC$1.8791.02%94
10 Nov, 02:14 UTC$1.8890.74%94
9 Nov, 20:11 UTC$1.8790.99%94
9 Nov, 14:08 UTC$1.8790.98%94
9 Nov, 01:53 UTC$1.8790.95%94
9 Nov, 00:04 UTC$1.8890.84%94
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$1.8890.85%94
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$1.8590.95%94
8 Nov, 11:27 UTC$1.8590.83%94
6 Nov, 22:57 UTC$1.8590.76%94
6 Nov, 10:50 UTC$1.8591.06%94
5 Nov, 10:39 UTC$1.8591.04%94
3 Nov, 22:41 UTC$1.8590.84%94
3 Nov, 09:32 UTC$1.8690.89%94
3 Nov, 07:26 UTC$1.8690.99%94
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$1.8690.98%94
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.6%classified 4.2%pink 0.5%restricted 27.8%mil spec 61.5%Mythical 3.7%Rare 1.7%best hit $186 (99.25x)