Insulated

A case on CSGORoll (gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$84.32

120 coins

Advertised RTP

90.91%

EV $76.65 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d

100.80%

14 openings, odds method

Variance

1.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

39.1%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

49.9%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

14 openings · below min

30 days

14 openings · below min

since tracking started

14 openings · below min

41.0%100.8%160.5%

Small sample. 14 openings and 5.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	14	100.80%±59.1	—	odds
30d	14	100.80%±59.1	—	odds
All	14	100.80%±59.1	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$1,142 1,632 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$865 1,235 coins	1.1%	0	0.0	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 67	$523 747 coins	10.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 50	$406 580 coins	10.6%	0	0.3	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$255 364 coins	1.7%	0	0.1	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 20	$159 227 coins	10.4%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| Fallout Warning (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 13	$115 165 coins	12.1%	7	1.1	6.25×
M4A4 \| X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert	22.0%	$113 161 coins	32.3%	3	3.1	0.97×
M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New)weapon · classified	11.0%	$97.30 139 coins	14.0%	0	1.5	0.00×
USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	18.0%	$25.77 36.81 coins	6.1%	1	2.5	0.40×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	31.9%	$3.51 5.01 coins	1.5%	3	4.5	0.67×

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.