Interdimensional

A case on CSGORoll (5%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$529.77

757 coins

Advertised RTP

90.91%

EV $481.61 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d

140.93%

264 openings, odds method

Variance

24.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 67

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

95.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

45 openings · below min

7 days

224 openings · below min

30 days

264 openings · below min

since tracking started

264 openings · below min

-0.5%103.0%206.5%

Small sample. 264 openings and 4.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	45	60.16%±145.6	—	odds
7d	224	126.88%±65.1	—	odds
30d	264	140.93%±60.0	—	odds
All	264	140.93%±60.0	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 264 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 200	$21.8K 31,155 coins	22.6%	2	1.3	1.52×
Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 200	$20.8K 29,650 coins	21.5%	2	1.3	1.52×
Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 200	$17.6K 25,125 coins	18.3%	2	1.3	1.52×
Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 200	$10.3K 14,660 coins	10.7%	1	1.3	0.76×
Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 200	$6,780 9,685 coins	7.0%	2	1.3	1.52×
Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 200	$4,305 6,150 coins	4.5%	2	1.3	1.52×
Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 200	$4,288 6,125 coins	4.5%	2	1.3	1.52×
Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Katowice 2014sticker · high	1 in 200	$4,035 5,765 coins	4.2%	4	1.3	3.03×
Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014sticker · high	1 in 200	$3,164 4,520 coins	3.3%	3	1.3	2.27×
Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014sticker · high	1 in 200	$3,136 4,480 coins	3.3%	3	1.3	2.27×
UMP-45 \| Mechanism (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	35.0%	$1.43 2.05 coins	0.1%	82	92.4	0.89×
P90 \| Module (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	30.0%	$0.95 1.36 coins	0.1%	74	79.2	0.93×
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	30.0%	$0.74 1.06 coins	0.0%	85	79.2	1.07×

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.