Invincible
A case on CSGORoll (40%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$110.21
157 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $100.20 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
104.78%
125 openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 125 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryL3MON™ csgoroll.com$113161 coins$1,0451,493 coins9.25x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$113161 coins$8751,250 coins7.75x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn)weapon · covertL3MON™ csgoroll.com$113161 coins$536765 coins4.74x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | $110 | 90.91% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $110 | 90.91% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $109 | 90.91% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $113 | 90.91% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $113 | 90.91% | 21 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $113 | 90.91% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.8%covert 34.4%classified 21.0%restricted 3.8%mil spec 20.0%consumer 20.0%best hit $1,045 (9.25x)