Jackhammer

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$38.76
55.37 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $35.24 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
80.39%
172 openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
84.09%±18.88142 openings
30 days
80.39%±17.12172 openings
since tracking started
80.39%±17.12172 openings
12.5%78.8%145.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1278.75%±65.8—odds
7d14284.09%±18.9−0.7σodds
30d17280.39%±17.1−1.2σodds
All17280.39%±17.1−1.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 172 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 333$503 718 coins4.3%00.5—
USP-S | Target Acquired (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 154$236 337 coins4.4%01.10.00×
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 250$174 249 coins2.0%00.7—
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 182$170 243 coins2.7%00.9—
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 21 in 200$134 192 coins1.9%10.9—
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 100$116 166 coins3.3%31.71.74×
AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 143$114 163 coins2.3%01.20.00×
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 20$109 156 coins15.5%158.61.74×
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 125$102 145 coins2.3%11.40.73×
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 50$90.30 129 coins5.1%23.40.58×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 25$72.10 103 coins8.2%66.90.87×
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 133$52.95 75.64 coins1.1%21.31.55×
AWP | Sun in Leo (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 33$49.99 71.42 coins4.3%15.20.19×
AK-47 | Red Laminate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 29$43.88 62.69 coins4.4%66.01.00×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 13$39.73 56.76 coins9.0%1113.80.80×
P250 | Modern Hunter (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec19.4%$28.87 41.24 coins15.9%2733.30.81×
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 14$15.79 22.56 coins3.1%1012.00.83×
Glock-18 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 15$15.44 22.06 coins2.8%1311.21.16×
SSG 08 | Detour (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec12.0%$11.94 17.05 coins4.1%2120.61.02×
USP-S | Para Green (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial10.0%$7.86 11.23 coins2.2%2217.21.28×
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec14.0%$3.16 4.52 coins1.3%3124.11.29×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$38.7655.37 coins$3.164.52 coins0.08x
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$38.7655.37 coins$3.164.52 coins0.08x
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$38.7655.37 coins$109156 coins2.82x
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$38.7655.37 coins$90.30129 coins2.33x
USP-S | Para Green (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$38.7655.37 coins$7.8611.23 coins0.20x
SSG 08 | Detour (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specoshri412$38.7655.37 coins$11.9417.05 coins0.31x
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$38.7655.37 coins$15.7922.56 coins0.41x
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Well-Worn)weapon · coverthyk ツ$38.7655.37 coins$39.7356.76 coins1.03x
P250 | Modern Hunter (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec$38.7655.37 coins$28.8741.24 coins0.74x
P250 | Modern Hunter (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spechyk ツ$38.7655.37 coins$28.8741.24 coins0.74x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$38.7690.91%21
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$39.0790.92%21
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$39.0490.91%21
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 19.6%classified 13.9%extraordinary 1.7%industrial 19.5%mil spec 45.4%best hit —