Jules

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$24.07
34.39 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
76.87%
7,538 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
938 openings · below min
7 days
76.12%±14.886,624 openings
30 days
76.87%±14.227,538 openings
since tracking started
76.87%±14.227,538 openings
31.0%61.3%91.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h93858.46%±26.7—sample
7d6,62476.12%±14.9—sample
30d7,53876.87%±14.2—sample
All7,53876.87%±14.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covert$24.0734.39 coins$2,0762,965 coins86.22x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covert$24.0734.39 coins$2,0762,965 coins86.22x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covert$24.0734.39 coins$2,0762,965 coins86.22x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covert$24.0734.39 coins$2,0762,965 coins86.22x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covert$23.5533.65 coins$2,0692,955 coins87.82x

Latest dropsnewest first

Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$23.5533.65 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$23.5533.65 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$23.5533.65 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil)sticker · exoticLiteJord$23.5533.65 coins$4.075.81 coins0.17x
Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$23.5533.65 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$23.5533.65 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerLiteJord$23.5533.65 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$23.5533.65 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$23.5533.65 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$23.5533.65 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,505 (187.1x)