King of the Sea
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$41.75
59.65 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $37.96 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.82%
1,041 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
54.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,041 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pinkmr.pit$41.7559.65 coins$18.5426.48 coins0.44x
Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertБАТЬКО НАШ БАНДЕР$41.7559.65 coins$62.5089.29 coins1.50x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $41.75 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $41.76 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $42.21 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $42.27 | 90.92% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $42.27 | 90.90% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 10.0%covert 53.5%pink 11.0%mil spec 12.6%restricted 12.9%best hit —