Lagoon

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$13.43
19.18 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.88%
15K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
74.26%±9.061,725 openings
7 days
83.53%±4.8512.9K openings
30 days
83.88%±4.4115K openings
since tracking started
83.88%±4.4115K openings
64.5%76.8%89.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,72574.26%±9.06—sample
7d12.9K83.53%±4.85—sample
30d15K83.88%±4.41—sample
All15K83.88%±4.41—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$13.4319.18 coins$1,2691,813 coins94.53x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classifieddatdrop42069$13.4319.18 coins$1,2691,813 coins94.53x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$13.4319.18 coins$1,2691,813 coins94.53x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$13.7619.66 coins$1,2411,773 coins90.18x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$13.7619.66 coins$1,2411,773 coins90.18x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$13.7619.66 coins$1,2411,773 coins90.18x

Latest dropsnewest first

USP-S | Business Class (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec$13.7619.66 coins$28.3440.49 coins2.06x
P90 | Baroque Red (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$13.7619.66 coins$25.3536.22 coins1.84x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$13.7619.66 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$13.7619.66 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Tec-9 | Groundwater (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$13.7619.66 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$13.7619.66 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$13.7619.66 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,269 (94.53x)