Lawnmower
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$16.51
23.59 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $15.01 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.13%
1,724 openings, odds method
Variance
2.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,748 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Nova | Interlock (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specWcale nie Alfred$16.5123.59 coins$4.125.89 coins0.25x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $16.51 | 90.90% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $16.70 | 90.92% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.65 | 90.92% | 19 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 9.4%extraordinary 0.0%restricted 17.1%industrial 18.3%classified 33.3%exceptional 10.0%mil spec 12.0%best hit —