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Minerals

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$53.72
76.74 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
95.56%
1,020 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
70 openings · below min
7 days
797 openings · below min
30 days
95.56%±23.431,020 openings
since tracking started
95.56%±23.431,020 openings
46.5%83.0%119.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h7065.85%±18.5—sample
7d79793.54%±22.5—sample
30d1,02095.56%±23.4—sample
All1,02095.56%±23.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$53.7276.75 coins$4,3056,150 coins80.13x
Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$53.7276.74 coins$4,3056,150 coins80.14x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$53.7276.75 coins$1,1571,653 coins21.54x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$53.7376.76 coins$1,1571,653 coins21.53x
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$53.7276.75 coins$612874 coins11.39x
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$53.7376.76 coins$612874 coins11.39x
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$53.7376.76 coins$612874 coins11.39x
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested)weapon · covertPluss+$54.0177.15 coins$603862 coins11.17x
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested)weapon · covertBoscoG2$54.0177.15 coins$603862 coins11.17x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Five-SeveN | Contractor (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$54.0177.15 coins$1.391.99 coins0.03x
FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$54.0177.15 coins$5.227.45 coins0.10x
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedJhon csgoroll.com$54.0177.15 coins$4.816.87 coins0.09x
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$54.0177.15 coins$4.816.87 coins0.09x
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$54.0177.15 coins$4.816.87 coins0.09x
AUG | Sand Storm (Well-Worn)weapon · restrictedJhon csgoroll.com$54.0177.15 coins$16.2923.27 coins0.30x
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$54.0177.15 coins$4.816.87 coins0.09x
P90 | Shallow Grave (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified$54.0177.15 coins$23.3733.38 coins0.43x
AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested)weapon · covertJhon csgoroll.com$54.0177.15 coins$98.70141 coins1.83x
Five-SeveN | Contractor (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerJhon csgoroll.com$54.0177.15 coins$1.391.99 coins0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,305 (80.13x)