Mystery
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2,764.31
3,949 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
88.95%
130 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 130 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) 4x IBP Holo (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$2,7643,949 coins$105K150,000 coins37.98x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) 4x IBP Holo (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendarycoco$2,7643,949 coins$105K150,000 coins37.98x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$2,7493,927 coins$12K17,180 coins4.37x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$2,7493,927 coins$12K17,180 coins4.37x
Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$2,7643,949 coins$4,0885,840 coins1.48x
StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$2,7643,949 coins$8781,254 coins0.32x
StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$2,7643,949 coins$8781,254 coins0.32x
StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$2,7643,949 coins$8781,254 coins0.32x
StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$2,7643,949 coins$8781,254 coins0.32x
StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertHodenAmBoden$2,7643,949 coins$8781,254 coins0.32x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$2,7493,927 coins$541773 coins0.20x
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$2,7493,927 coins$541773 coins0.20x
StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$2,7493,927 coins$8441,205 coins0.31x
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$2,7493,927 coins$541773 coins0.20x
StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$2,7493,927 coins$8441,205 coins0.31x
StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertKickerrrrrrrr$2,7493,927 coins$8441,205 coins0.31x
StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$2,7493,927 coins$8441,205 coins0.31x
StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$2,7493,927 coins$8441,205 coins0.31x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $105K (37.98x)