Ocean

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$862.87
1,233 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
95.69%
150 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
104 openings · below min
30 days
150 openings · below min
since tracking started
150 openings · below min
22.0%91.0%160.0%

Small sample. 150 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1228.80%±5.94—sample
7d104104.30%±55.0—sample
30d15095.69%±43.2—sample
All15095.69%±43.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband$8681,240 coins$7,00010,000 coins8.07x
M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband$8631,233 coins$6,9169,880 coins8.02x
M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband$8631,233 coins$6,9169,880 coins8.02x

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $12K (13.86x)