Oriental Case
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$52.72
75.31 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $47.92 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.99%
43 openings, odds method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 43 openings and 11.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 43 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified$52.7275.32 coins$25.1235.88 coins0.48x
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified$52.7275.32 coins$25.1235.88 coins0.48x
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified$52.7275.32 coins$59.4484.91 coins1.13x
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified$52.7275.32 coins$25.1235.88 coins0.48x
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified$52.7275.32 coins$25.1235.88 coins0.48x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC | $52.72 | 90.91% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $52.72 | 90.91% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $51.37 | 90.91% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $51.48 | 90.90% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $51.48 | 90.91% | 13 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $51.46 | 90.91% | 13 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 49.2%covert 25.8%consumer 10.0%Classified 15.0%best hit —