Paparazzi
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$17.82
25.46 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $16.20 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.20%
3,404 openings, odds method
Variance
3.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,408 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | FaZe Clan (Foil) | London 2018sticker · exoticRusty Cake$17.8225.46 coins$84.00120 coins4.71x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $17.82 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $17.82 | 90.89% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $17.96 | 90.92% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $18.00 | 90.91% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedmil spec 4.5%covert 0.7%exotic 5.9%extraordinary 0.5%classified 18.8%high 10.7%restricted 34.1%#8847ff 25.0%best hit —