Party Pooper
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$17.30
24.71 coins
Advertised RTP
90.92%
EV $15.73 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.34%
751 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 751 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | $17.30 | 90.92% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $17.28 | 90.91% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $17.33 | 90.91% | 11 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $17.35 | 90.92% | 11 |
| 4 Nov, 22:33 UTC | $17.37 | 90.91% | 11 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $17.36 | 90.89% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 9.0%industrial 1.0%restricted 60.0%classified 30.0%best hit —