Pink Clouds
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$230.24
329 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $209.32 from 20 items
Observed RTP, 30d
59.61%
41 openings, odds method
Variance
11.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 41 openings and 9.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 41 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | KRIMZ (Gold) | Boston 2018sticker · extraordinaryBeastafiedBeast$230329 coins$124177 coins0.54x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $230 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 3 Nov, 15:54 UTC | $230 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $230 | 90.91% | 20 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbase 0.1%remarkable 40.2%legendary 0.2%high 0.4%extraordinary 59.2%best hit —