Prisma 2
A case on CSGORoll (csgo), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$9.47
13.53 coins
Advertised RTP
90.89%
EV $8.61 from 37 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.88%
2,305 openings, odds method
Variance
4.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,309 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$9.4713.53 coins$1.111.59 coins0.12x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.89%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:20 UTC | $9.47 | 90.89% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $9.45 | 90.91% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $9.18 | 90.94% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $9.04 | 90.94% | 37 |
| 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $9.04 | 90.94% | 37 |
| 4 Nov, 22:33 UTC | $9.04 | 90.91% | 37 |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | $9.04 | 90.93% | 37 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.07 | 90.90% | 37 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 6.6%classified 31.6%restricted 29.0%Legendary 4.0%#d32ee6 2.3%pink 2.3%#4b69ff 5.5%mil spec 18.7%best hit —