Recharge
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$14.82
21.17 coins
Advertised RTP
90.92%
EV $13.47 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.57%
2,349 openings, odds method
Variance
4.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,349 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedCousin of po$14.8221.17 coins$12.1117.3 coins0.82x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $14.82 | 90.92% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $14.82 | 90.93% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $14.87 | 90.89% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.98 | 90.91% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 8.5%extraordinary 0.0%classified 17.3%industrial 9.0%consumer 10.0%restricted 18.0%mil spec 37.2%best hit —