Rejuice
A case on CSGORoll (25%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$29.32
41.88 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $26.65 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.82%
6,821 openings, odds method
Variance
16.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,863 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 1$29.1841.69 coins$2,2023,145 coins75.44x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 1$29.1841.69 coins$2,2023,145 coins75.44x
AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertBismillah Alrahim Alraham$29.1841.69 coins$1,4772,110 coins50.61x
AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertBismillah Alrahim Alraham$29.1841.69 coins$1,4772,110 coins50.61x
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covertLange$29.1841.69 coins$1,0841,548 coins37.13x
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covertMezzini$29.1841.69 coins$1,0841,548 coins37.13x
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$29.3241.88 coins$20.8329.75 coins0.71x
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertkarma$29.3241.88 coins$67.5396.47 coins2.30x
XM1014 | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialdoubledown$29.3241.88 coins$0.100.15 coins0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $29.32 | 90.90% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $29.32 | 90.91% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $29.34 | 90.90% | 24 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $29.18 | 90.91% | 24 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedhigh 0.1%covert 11.2%classified 0.1%restricted 9.3%extraordinary 1.4%mil spec 3.0%industrial 75.0%best hit $4,035 (138.3x)