Royalty
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$63.57
90.81 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $57.79 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.21%
1,643 openings, odds method
Variance
3.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
31.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,643 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$63.5790.81 coins$21.1530.21 coins0.33x
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$63.5790.81 coins$21.1530.21 coins0.33x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $63.57 | 90.90% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $64.88 | 90.91% | 12 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $64.29 | 90.90% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 35.0%legendary 0.4%covert 57.5%industrial 2.0%restricted 5.0%best hit $2,594 (40.34x)