Sandstorm
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$27.18
38.83 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $24.71 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.96%
891 openings, odds method
Variance
5.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 891 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specMiltsukkaaaw :3$27.1838.83 coins$3.915.58 coins0.14x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · rare$27.1838.83 coins$17.7725.39 coins0.65x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · rare$27.1838.83 coins$38.3154.73 coins1.41x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $27.18 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $27.20 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $26.29 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $26.32 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $26.32 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $26.31 | 90.90% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 12.2%legendary 0.0%classified 9.0%rare 30.8%mil spec 33.0%industrial 15.0%best hit —