Sightless
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$98.43
141 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $89.48 from 20 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.96%
786 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 788 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert$98.43141 coins$623890 coins6.33x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$98.43141 coins$159227 coins1.61x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $98.43 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $98.22 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $98.68 | 90.91% | 20 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 49.5%restricted 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%classified 20.5%mil spec 30.0%best hit $1,165 (11.83x)