Sit Ups
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$39.12
55.88 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $35.56 from 25 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.41%
331 openings, odds method
Variance
4.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 331 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$39.1255.88 coins$13.9219.89 coins0.36x
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn)weapon · classifiedTiny Tim.CsgoRoll.com$39.1255.88 coins$15.7922.56 coins0.40x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $39.12 | 90.91% | 25 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $39.45 | 90.92% | 25 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $39.89 | 90.91% | 25 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 27.0%restricted 4.6%classified 19.5%consumer 22.0%mil spec 16.0%blue 10.9%best hit —