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Skeleton

A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$61.94
88.48 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $56.30 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.91%
2,260 openings, odds method
Variance
3.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
79.36%±25.46210 openings
7 days
83.58%±8.571,783 openings
30 days
85.91%±7.602,260 openings
since tracking started
85.91%±7.602,260 openings
53.5%79.5%105.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h21079.36%±25.5−0.9σodds
7d1,78383.58%±8.57−1.7σodds
30d2,26085.91%±7.60−1.3σodds
All2,26085.91%±7.60−1.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,263 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary1 in 333$1,474 2,105 coins7.9%46.80.59×
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 100$675 964 coins12.0%2422.61.06×
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · legendary1 in 333$436 623 coins2.3%46.80.59×
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 125$399 570 coins5.7%1518.10.83×
★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 333$331 473 coins1.8%46.80.59×
★ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 100$292 417 coins5.2%2022.60.88×
★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 100$235 336 coins4.2%2322.61.02×
★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 100$229 327 coins4.1%2522.61.10×
★ Skeleton Knifeknife · covert1 in 333$198 283 coins1.1%116.81.62×
★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 100$175 250 coins3.1%1822.60.80×
★ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 100$134 191 coins2.4%1822.60.80×
★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 100$111 159 coins2.0%2222.60.97×
★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 100$96.60 138 coins1.7%1822.60.80×
AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)weapon · restricted90.0%$29.25 41.78 coins46.7%2,0572036.71.01×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$61.9488.48 coins$1,4742,105 coins23.79x
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$62.7889.69 coins$1,4152,022 coins22.54x
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$62.7889.69 coins$1,4152,022 coins22.54x
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$62.7889.69 coins$1,4152,022 coins22.54x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$61.9488.48 coins$675964 coins10.90x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$61.9488.48 coins$675964 coins10.90x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$61.9488.48 coins$675964 coins10.90x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covertTheLiarGod$61.9488.48 coins$675964 coins10.90x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$61.9488.48 coins$675964 coins10.90x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$61.9488.48 coins$675964 coins10.90x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)weapon · restricted$61.9488.48 coins$29.2541.78 coins0.47x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)weapon · restricted$61.9488.48 coins$29.2541.78 coins0.47x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)weapon · restricted$61.9488.48 coins$29.2541.78 coins0.47x
★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · covert★ UnToUcHaBlE ™$61.9488.48 coins$96.60138 coins1.56x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)weapon · restricted$61.9488.48 coins$29.2541.78 coins0.47x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)weapon · restricted$61.9488.48 coins$29.2541.78 coins0.47x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)weapon · restricted$61.9488.48 coins$29.2541.78 coins0.47x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)weapon · restricted$61.9488.48 coins$29.2541.78 coins0.47x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)weapon · restricted$61.9488.48 coins$29.2541.78 coins0.47x
AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)weapon · restricted$61.9488.48 coins$29.2541.78 coins0.47x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$61.9490.91%14
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$62.5990.91%14
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$62.7890.91%14
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.6%covert 8.4%epic 1.0%restricted 90.0%best hit $1,474 (23.79x)