Slime
A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.09
2.99 coins
Advertised RTP
90.92%
EV $1.90 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.53%
86.2K openings, odds method
Variance
20.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 71
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 86.3K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerPoarad | csgoroll.com$2.092.99 coins$0.010.02 coins0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $2.09 | 90.92% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $2.09 | 90.82% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $2.09 | 90.90% | 10 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2.07 | 90.76% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.0%classified 2.5%mil spec 1.0%restricted 5.5%consumer 90.0%best hit —