Small Arms
A case on CSGORoll (pistols), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$44.52
63.6 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $40.47 from 20 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.64%
116 openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 116 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertUnfairScroll27$44.7463.92 coins$103147 coins2.30x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert$44.7463.92 coins$52.2674.66 coins1.17x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $44.52 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $44.98 | 90.90% | 20 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $45.00 | 90.91% | 20 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 58.0%covert 26.9%classified 3.2%mil spec 4.1%industrial 7.8%best hit —