Smite
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$4.43
6.33 coins
Advertised RTP
90.97%
EV $4.03 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.20%
13.1K openings, odds method
Variance
14.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.1K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wraiths (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · mil specsi^b^rO$4.436.33 coins$0.630.9 coins0.14x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:20 UTC | $4.43 | 90.97% | 14 |
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | $4.43 | 90.96% | 14 |
| 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $4.43 | 90.93% | 14 |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $4.43 | 90.88% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $4.45 | 90.97% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $4.53 | 90.93% | 14 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $4.55 | 90.98% | 14 |
| 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $4.54 | 90.95% | 14 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $4.54 | 90.97% | 14 |
| 4 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $4.55 | 90.89% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4.57 | 90.86% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 1.0%covert 1.0%classified 3.0%mil spec 54.1%restricted 22.0%consumer 5.9%industrial 5.0%Rare 8.0%best hit —