Storm Case
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$182.27
260 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $165.70 from 22 items
Observed RTP, 30d
74.88%
34 openings, odds method
Variance
5.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 34 openings and 4.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 34 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil specLuxi$182260 coins$35.2950.41 coins0.19x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$182260 coins$35.2950.41 coins0.19x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $182 | 90.91% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $182 | 90.91% | 22 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $185 | 90.91% | 22 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 39.8%extraordinary 4.8%classified 21.0%mil spec 14.5%restricted 12.0%exotic 8.0%best hit $1,114 (6.11x)