Suburban
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$10.86
15.51 coins
Advertised RTP
90.88%
EV $9.87 from 22 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.86%
5,010 openings, odds method
Variance
5.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 10
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,038 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · restricted$10.8615.51 coins$5.017.15 coins0.46x
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert✪ Majk_Z ✪$10.8615.51 coins$50.6472.34 coins4.66x
Tec-9 | Groundwater (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerCousin of po$10.8615.51 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.88%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $10.86 | 90.88% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $10.86 | 90.91% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $10.77 | 90.89% | 22 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $10.69 | 90.89% | 22 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.70 | 90.90% | 22 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 9.8%extraordinary 0.0%exotic 0.0%classified 9.3%mil spec 0.8%industrial 40.5%remarkable 0.5%restricted 14.0%consumer 25.0%best hit —