Sweet n Salty
A case on CSGORoll (30%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$7.72
11.03 coins
Advertised RTP
90.94%
EV $7.02 from 22 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.85%
3,866 openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,876 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$7.7211.03 coins$31.9845.69 coins4.14x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.94%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $7.72 | 90.94% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $7.73 | 90.89% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $7.73 | 90.90% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $7.73 | 90.93% | 22 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7.72 | 90.87% | 22 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 4.8%covert 1.6%industrial 6.1%remarkable 30.0%mil spec 7.5%exotic 2.5%uncommon 30.5%#8847ff 8.0%high 9.0%best hit —