Tank
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$10.36
14.8 coins
Advertised RTP
90.93%
EV $9.42 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.06%
3,368 openings, odds method
Variance
4.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,368 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classifiedSuperbukeN$10.3614.8 coins$4.907 coins0.47x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $10.36 | 90.93% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $10.33 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $10.44 | 90.88% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.43 | 90.94% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 6.1%extraordinary 0.1%rare 3.0%restricted 50.0%distinguished 3.0%classified 10.8%uncommon 9.0%consumer 18.0%best hit —