Team Terrorist
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$31.21
44.59 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $28.38 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.08%
474 openings, odds method
Variance
2.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 474 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$31.2144.59 coins$16.0822.97 coins0.52x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedfast csgoroll.com$31.2144.59 coins$16.0822.97 coins0.52x
PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Well-Worn)weapon · restrictedfast csgoroll.com$31.2144.59 coins$0.801.14 coins0.03x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $31.21 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $31.21 | 90.90% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $30.75 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $30.70 | 90.90% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $30.70 | 90.92% | 19 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $30.69 | 90.92% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $30.69 | 90.90% | 19 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 25.3%restricted 33.5%epic 0.2%classified 41.0%best hit —