The Booster

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$37.34
53.34 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $33.95 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.38%
409 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
57.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
20 openings · below min
7 days
84.98%±15.65340 openings
30 days
85.38%±14.27409 openings
since tracking started
85.38%±14.27409 openings
46.0%111.3%176.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h20111.21%±64.5—odds
7d34084.98%±15.7−0.7σodds
30d40985.38%±14.3−0.8σodds
All40985.38%±14.3−0.8σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 409 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 500$378 540 coins2.2%00.8—
SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 100$283 404 coins8.3%24.10.49×
USP-S | Target Acquired (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 25$210 300 coins24.7%1416.40.86×
★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 50$83.30 119 coins4.9%128.21.47×
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary10.0%$68.28 97.54 coins20.1%5540.91.34×
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 20$58.98 84.26 coins8.7%1920.50.93×
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert20.0%$52.27 74.67 coins30.8%7181.80.87×
P90 | Teardown (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec57.8%$0.11 0.16 coins0.2%236236.41.00×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

P90 | Teardown (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$37.3453.34 coins$0.110.16 coins0.00x
P90 | Teardown (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil specBRÄTT <3$37.3453.34 coins$0.110.16 coins0.00x
P90 | Teardown (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$37.3453.34 coins$0.110.16 coins0.00x
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$37.3453.34 coins$58.9884.26 coins1.58x
USP-S | Target Acquired (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$37.3453.34 coins$210300 coins5.62x
P90 | Teardown (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil specAvyrian$37.3453.34 coins$0.110.16 coins0.00x
P90 | Teardown (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$37.3453.34 coins$0.110.16 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$37.3490.91%8
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$37.6390.91%8
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$37.8690.91%8
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 1.2%classified 4.0%covert 27.0%extraordinary 10.0%mil spec 57.8%best hit —