Unholy
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$6.09
8.7 coins
Advertised RTP
90.87%
EV $5.53 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.77%
8,037 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,050 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$6.098.7 coins$12.4217.75 coins2.04x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.87%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $6.09 | 90.87% | 16 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $6.13 | 90.95% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.14 | 90.89% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%restricted 25.3%classified 30.6%mil spec 4.1%consumer 20.0%industrial 20.0%best hit —