Vaporwave

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$20.59

29.42 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

81.40%

12.4K openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

83.40%±10.231,853 openings

7 days

83.35%±4.9110.3K openings

30 days

81.40%±4.3612.4K openings

since tracking started

81.40%±4.3612.4K openings

72.5%83.5%94.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	1,853	83.40%±10.2	—	sample
7d	10.3K	83.35%±4.91	—	sample
30d	12.4K	81.40%±4.36	—	sample
All	12.4K	81.40%±4.36	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$20.5929.42 coins$8751,250 coins42.49x4d

StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$20.5929.42 coins$8751,250 coins42.49x5d

StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert«✪ WALLEN ✪»$20.5929.42 coins$8751,250 coins42.49x5d

StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · coverthermano$20.5929.42 coins$8751,250 coins42.49x6d

StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$20.5929.42 coins$8751,250 coins42.49x6d

StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$20.5929.42 coins$8751,250 coins42.49x8d

StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertwUNDOW lft$20.6729.53 coins$8561,223 coins41.42x1d

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 1$20.5929.42 coins$8311,187 coins40.35x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AWP | Electric Hive (Factory New)weapon · classifiedsbears$20.6729.53 coins$63.8091.14 coins3.09x8m

USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$20.6729.53 coins$0.060.08 coins0.00x13m

USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialdoubledown$20.6729.53 coins$0.060.08 coins0.00x13m

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$20.6729.53 coins$99.40142 coins4.81x13m

USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialdoubledown$20.6729.53 coins$0.060.08 coins0.00x14m

USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$20.6729.53 coins$0.060.08 coins0.00x14m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $875 (42.49x)