Vegetable
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$40.57
57.95 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $36.88 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
75.68%
171 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 171 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · classifiedUser#878$40.5757.95 coins$23.3033.28 coins0.57x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 08:16 UTC | $40.57 | 90.90% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $40.50 | 90.91% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $41.07 | 90.91% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $40.88 | 90.90% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $40.89 | 90.91% | 15 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $41.03 | 90.91% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 20.6%extraordinary 0.0%mil spec 23.0%classified 23.4%restricted 16.0%industrial 17.0%best hit —