Veiled
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$51.20
73.14 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $46.54 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.77%
190 openings, odds method
Variance
32.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 190 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir USP-S | Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · industrial$51.2073.14 coins$6.319.01 coins0.12x
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinaryMiltsukkaaaw :3$51.2073.14 coins$49.0470.05 coins0.96x
Souvenir USP-S | Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · industrial$51.7373.9 coins$6.319.01 coins0.12x
Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedManz$51.7373.9 coins$11.0015.72 coins0.21x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC | $51.20 | 90.90% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $51.73 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $51.18 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $51.49 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $51.37 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $51.47 | 90.91% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%covert 5.1%extraordinary 14.0%classified 4.0%industrial 21.9%blue 15.0%restricted 40.0%best hit —