Void
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.87
8.38 coins
Advertised RTP
90.94%
EV $5.33 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.66%
15.7K openings, odds method
Variance
6.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15.7K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Ironwork (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$5.878.38 coins$0.480.69 coins0.08x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedWcale nie Alfred$5.878.38 coins$7.7111.02 coins1.32x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Ironwork (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · mil specSuperbukeN$5.878.38 coins$0.480.69 coins0.08x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.94%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC | $5.87 | 90.94% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $5.87 | 90.92% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $5.87 | 90.87% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $5.87 | 90.87% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $5.86 | 90.96% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $5.81 | 90.92% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $5.77 | 90.96% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $5.77 | 90.91% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $5.78 | 90.90% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $5.78 | 90.93% | 24 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $5.78 | 90.91% | 24 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.77 | 90.87% | 24 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%covert 2.0%industrial 27.8%gold 0.1%restricted 25.4%mil spec 37.0%classified 3.2%consumer 4.5%best hit —