Wasteland
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$36.11
51.59 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $32.83 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.91%
321 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
55.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 321 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)weapon · classified$36.1151.59 coins$45.2164.58 coins1.25x
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)weapon · classifiedDab$36.1151.59 coins$45.2164.58 coins1.25x
AUG | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialPvpbotx$36.1151.59 coins$1.782.54 coins0.05x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $36.11 | 90.91% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $36.44 | 90.91% | 10 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $37.68 | 90.91% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 13.6%mil spec 1.5%restricted 13.0%classified 18.0%consumer 22.0%industrial 31.9%best hit —