Price
$73.26
105 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $66.60 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.68%
3,399 openings, odds method
Variance
12.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 38
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,399 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · highrockorost$73.68105 coins$3,1644,520 coins42.94x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $73.26 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $73.24 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $73.27 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $73.68 | 90.91% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedhigh 61.8%legendary 0.3%extraordinary 0.5%covert 4.5%classified 1.3%mil spec 1.7%epic 1.9%remarkable 14.0%#d32ce6 14.0%best hit $3,164 (43.19x)