Weewoo

A case on CSGORoll (new), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$73.26
105 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $66.60 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.68%
3,399 openings, odds method
Variance
12.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 38
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
146 openings · below min
7 days
101.87%±13.482,682 openings
30 days
101.68%±11.963,399 openings
since tracking started
101.68%±11.963,399 openings
41.5%100.3%159.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h146100.38%±58.2—odds
7d2,682101.87%±13.5+1.6σodds
30d3,399101.68%±12.0+1.8σodds
All3,399101.68%±12.0+1.8σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,399 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high1 in 667$3,164 4,520 coins7.1%95.11.77×
Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014sticker · high1 in 667$3,136 4,480 coins7.1%85.11.57×
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 333$1,635 2,335 coins7.4%1110.21.08×
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 200$1,373 1,962 coins10.3%2217.01.29×
Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014sticker · high1 in 143$1,130 1,614 coins11.9%2823.81.18×
Sticker | 3DMAX | Katowice 2014sticker · high1 in 125$710 1,014 coins8.5%2227.20.81×
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 100$642 917 coins9.6%3734.01.09×
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 77$474 677 coins9.3%5044.21.13×
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 67$467 667 coins10.5%4351.00.84×
AUG | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 59$334 477 coins8.5%5257.80.90×
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · epic · Phase 41 in 53$208 297 coins5.9%5764.60.88×
★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 50$98.70 141 coins3.0%5868.00.85×
Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter)sticker · remarkable14.0%$2.01 2.87 coins0.4%484475.91.02×
Sticker | Red Shades (Foil)sticker · #d32ce614.0%$1.01 1.44 coins0.2%469475.90.99×
Sticker | Blue Shark Shootersticker · high30.0%$0.36 0.52 coins0.2%1,0061019.70.99×
Sticker | Red Shark Shootersticker · high30.0%$0.25 0.36 coins0.1%1,0431019.71.02×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$73.26105 coins$3,1644,520 coins43.19x
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$73.68105 coins$3,1644,520 coins42.94x
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$73.68105 coins$3,1644,520 coins42.94x
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$73.68105 coins$3,1644,520 coins42.94x
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$73.68105 coins$3,1644,520 coins42.94x
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$73.68105 coins$3,1644,520 coins42.94x
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$73.68105 coins$3,1644,520 coins42.94x
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$73.68105 coins$3,1644,520 coins42.94x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Red Shark Shootersticker · high$73.26105 coins$0.250.36 coins0.00x
Sticker | Red Shark Shootersticker · high$73.26105 coins$0.250.36 coins0.00x
Sticker | Red Shark Shootersticker · high$73.26105 coins$0.250.36 coins0.00x
Sticker | Red Shark Shootersticker · high$73.26105 coins$0.250.36 coins0.00x
Sticker | Red Shades (Foil)sticker · #d32ce6$73.26105 coins$1.011.44 coins0.01x
Sticker | Red Shark Shootersticker · highSkovlen$73.26105 coins$0.250.36 coins0.00x
Sticker | Blue Shark Shootersticker · high$73.26105 coins$0.360.52 coins0.00x
Sticker | Blue Shark Shootersticker · high$73.26105 coins$0.360.52 coins0.00x
Sticker | Red Shark Shootersticker · high$73.26105 coins$0.250.36 coins0.00x
Sticker | Red Shark Shootersticker · highSkovlen$73.26105 coins$0.250.36 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
9 Nov, 01:53 UTC$73.2690.91%16
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$73.2490.91%16
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$73.2790.91%16
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$73.6890.91%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedhigh 61.8%legendary 0.3%extraordinary 0.5%covert 4.5%classified 1.3%mil spec 1.7%epic 1.9%remarkable 14.0%#d32ce6 14.0%best hit $3,164 (43.19x)