Yellow Tape
A case on CSGORoll (25%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$41.35
59.07 coins
Advertised RTP
90.92%
EV $37.59 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.63%
498 openings, odds method
Variance
2.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 498 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$41.3559.07 coins$12.4217.75 coins0.30x
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$41.3559.07 coins$101144 coins2.44x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$41.3559.07 coins$12.4217.75 coins0.30x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | $41.35 | 90.92% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $41.36 | 90.90% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $41.35 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $41.28 | 90.92% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $41.43 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $41.43 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $41.43 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $41.43 | 90.90% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $41.42 | 90.91% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.6%extraordinary 6.7%exotic 0.3%mil spec 17.5%restricted 25.0%classified 12.0%industrial 17.5%Mil Spec 17.5%best hit —