Zodiac
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$8.09
11.56 coins
Advertised RTP
90.89%
EV $7.36 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.14%
2,061 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
33.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,061 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$8.0911.56 coins$6.309 coins0.78x
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$8.0911.56 coins$6.309 coins0.78x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.89%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $8.09 | 90.89% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $8.09 | 90.92% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $8.39 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $8.39 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8.39 | 90.92% | 17 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.0%classified 18.7%red 0.8%Legendary 1.0%Classified 11.8%consumer 30.5%exotic 19.1%uncommon 1.6%Mythical 15.5%best hit —