Agents
A case on CSGORUN (rarity2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$9.49
Advertised RTP
91.85%
EV $8.72 from 38 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.49%
470 openings, odds method
Variance
0.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
35.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 541 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/agents/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.85%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $9.49 | 91.85% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $9.49 | 94.00% | 38 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedmaster 1.3%exceptional 7.8%red 10.3%superior 19.3%Ancient 0.2%distinguished 4.6%pink 10.7%blue 21.7%#4b69ff 4.0%violet 20.1%best hit —