Agi
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$415.46
Advertised RTP
94.00%
EV $390.53 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.26%
101 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
48.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 101 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/agi/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $415 | 94.00% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $436 | 89.53% | 17 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $436 | 92.19% | 17 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 33.2%legendary 10.9%#ffd700 1.4%sunny 28.0%epic 8.5%extraordinary 15.4%rare 2.7%best hit $1,668 (3.82x)