Akulich
A case on CSGORUN (media), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$1.69
Advertised RTP
94.24%
EV $1.59 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.47%
1,368 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
29.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,368 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/akulich/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.24%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.69 | 94.24% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.69 | 98.19% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 2.8%covert 0.0%industrial 0.0%restricted 5.7%Mil Spec 0.0%mil spec 29.0%pink 0.3%Common 18.5%consumer 7.1%blueLight 4.1%#777777 4.9%Rare 8.4%uncommon 5.5%Consumer Grade 2.8%#4b69ff 2.8%blue 2.7%Uncommon 2.7%milspec 2.7%best hit —