Attackontitan
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.14
Advertised RTP
88.95%
EV $0.12 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
104.29%
8,635 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 95.83% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (101.28% – 107.30%, 8,635 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,636 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/attackontitan/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.95%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.14 | 88.95% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.13 | 95.79% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.13 | 97.17% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 0.0%Exotic 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%uncommon 0.4%#8847ff 0.9%pink 0.1%blue 6.0%violet 2.5%mil spec 4.9%restricted 0.4%Mil Spec Grade 7.6%#4b69ff 9.2%milspec 5.6%Uncommon 21.0%other 12.4%#5e98d9 5.9%high 6.2%Rare 11.1%common 5.9%best hit —