Attention
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$51.58
Advertised RTP
93.98%
EV $48.48 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
100.09%
83 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 83 openings and 13.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 83 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/attention/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $51.58 | 93.98% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $52.42 | 92.48% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $52.42 | 94.08% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcontraband 0.0%classified 28.4%extraordinary 3.7%covert 20.3%Extraordinary 4.9%pink 9.5%Restricted 9.2%Rare 5.7%industrial 4.6%restricted 5.2%mil spec 3.4%violet 5.0%best hit —