Azazin
A case on CSGORUN (media), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$4.99
Advertised RTP
95.73%
EV $4.78 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
102.91%
681 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
28.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 96.50% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (97.43% – 108.38%, 681 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 681 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/azazin/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 95.73%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.99 | 95.73% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.99 | 100.70% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 4.7%covert 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%Ancient 0.0%classified 0.3%mil spec 3.9%gold 0.0%industrial 9.8%Industrial Grade 3.0%consumer 6.1%restricted 13.2%#d32ce6 4.3%Consumer 7.6%uncommon 9.8%Consumer Grade 7.8%Restricted 3.6%#4b69ff 3.5%blue 4.7%Mythical 8.0%milspec 5.1%gray 2.4%Rare 2.2%best hit —